TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY #1
Tropical Depression
11:00 PM, 20 October 2024
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
Location: 1,255 km East of Southeastern Luzon
Intensity: Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center
Gustiness of up to 70kph
Present Movement: Westward at 30 kph
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Moderate to rough seas over the eastern seaboards of Quezon
• Up to 2.5 m: Eastern seaboards of Quezon
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Track and Intensity Outlook
May enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow (21 October) early morning, and is expected to move westward until Tuesday (22 October) morning before turning west northwestward to northwestward from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday (23 October) evening. It is forecast to make landfall over the northeastern portion of Cagayan by Friday (25 October) evening.
This tropical cyclone is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm in the next 12 hours. It may reach severe tropical storm category by Tuesday afternoon or evening and typhoon category by Thursday (24 October) afternoon or evening. Upon entry in PAR region, this tropical cyclone will be given the local name of “KRISTINE”.
Since this tropical cyclone is still over the Philippine Sea, further intensification is likely. Changes in forecast track is also not ruled out.
Unless there is an intermediate issuance, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be issued at 11:00 AM tomorrow.
DOST-PAGASA
Quezon PIO