Forecast Summary: 𝗞𝗔𝗦𝗔𝗟𝗨𝗞𝗨𝗬𝗔𝗡𝗚 𝗠𝗔𝗬 𝗕𝗜𝗡𝗔𝗕𝗔𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗬𝗔𝗡𝗚 𝗕𝗔𝗚𝗬𝗢 𝗦𝗔 𝗟𝗢𝗢𝗕 𝗡𝗚 𝗣𝗔𝗚𝗔𝗦𝗔 𝗠𝗢𝗡𝗜𝗧𝗢𝗥𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗗𝗢𝗠𝗔𝗜𝗡.
𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗔𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗟𝗔, 𝗠𝗔𝗕𝗔𝗕𝗔 𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗚𝗚𝗔𝗡𝗚 𝗦𝗔 𝗞𝗔𝗧𝗔𝗠𝗧𝗔𝗠𝗔𝗡 𝗔𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗬𝗔𝗡𝗦𝗔 𝗡𝗔 𝗠𝗔𝗬 𝗠𝗔𝗕𝗨𝗢𝗡𝗚 𝗜𝗦𝗔 𝗣𝗔𝗡𝗚 𝗕𝗔𝗚𝗬𝗢 𝗦𝗔 𝗟𝗢𝗢𝗕 𝗡𝗚 𝗗𝗔𝗟𝗔𝗪𝗔𝗡𝗚 𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗚𝗚𝗢
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Tropical Depression “Kristine”
11:00 am, 21 October 2024
“KRISTINE” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA
LOCATION: 870 km East of Eastern Visayas
STRENGTH: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph, Gustiness of up to 70 kph
PRESENT MOVEMENT: West Southwestward at 30 km/h
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1(Wind threat: Strong winds)
– The eastern portion of Quezon (Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, Buenavista, San Narciso, San Andres)
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Moderate to rough seas over Polillo Islands which may have 4.5m of waves and up to 4.0m of waves in the eastern seaboard of Quezon.
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Livestream part 1: https://www.facebook.com/QuezonGovPh/videos/1120021046796083/
Livestream part 2:
https://www.facebook.com/watch/live/?ref=watch_permalink&v=1084325086421196
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𝐖𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐒𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦: 𝐓𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐊𝐑𝐈𝐒𝐓𝐈𝐍𝐄
𝐈𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐭: 𝟖:𝟎𝟎 𝐀𝐌, 𝟐𝟏 𝐎𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟒(𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐲)
𝐘𝐄𝐋𝐋𝐎𝐖 𝐖𝐀𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐋𝐄𝐕𝐄𝐋: 𝐐𝐔𝐄𝐙𝐎𝐍
𝐁𝐀𝐍𝐓𝐀𝐍𝐆 𝐏𝐀𝐍𝐆𝐀𝐍𝐈𝐁: 𝐌𝐚𝐲 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐝 𝐧𝐠 𝐏𝐀𝐆𝐁𝐀𝐇𝐀 𝐬𝐚 𝐦𝐠𝐚 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐝-𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐬
Pinapayuhan ang publiko at ang mga kinauukulang mula sa Tanggapan ng Pamamahala at Pagpapababa ng Bantang Panganib at Sakuna na subaybayan ang lagay ng panahon at bantayan ang susunod na babala na ilalabas ngayong 11:00 AM.
Link:
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Tropical Depression “Kristine”
5:00 am, 21 October 2024
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS ENTERED THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY AND WAS NAMED “KRISTINE”
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Location: 1,050 km East of Southeastern Luzon
Moving West Southwestward at 30 kph
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph
Gustiness of up to 70 kph
Moderate to rough seas over the Eastern seaboard of Quezon and may experience up to 3.5m of waves
Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
It may landfall over the northeastern portion of Cagayan by Friday (25 October) afternoon.
It may reach severe tropical storm category by tomorrow afternoon or evening and typhoon category by Thursday (24 October) afternoon or evening
Forecast Positions:
Oct 21, 2024 02:00 PM – 820 km East SE of Luzon
Oct 22, 2024 02:00 AM – 605 km East of Virac, Catanduanes
Oct 22, 2024 02:00 PM – 575 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte
Oct 23, 2024 02:00 AM – 600 km East of Baler, Aurora
Oct 23, 2024 02:00 PM – 415 km East of Casiguran, Aurora
Oct 24, 2024 02:00 AM – 340 km East of Echague, Isabela
Oct 25, 2024 02:00 AM – 110 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Oct 26, 2024 02:00 AM – Over the coastal waters of Calayan, Cagayan
No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal over Quezon as of 5am today
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Kaninang alas-3 ng umaga, ang Low Pressure Area (LPA) ay nasa 1,395km Silangan Timog Silangan ng Luzon sa labas ng PAR.
Maaari itong pumasok ng PAR at maging ganap na bagyo ngayong hapon o bukas ng umaga ng Lunes.
Posible itong lumapit o maglandfall sa kalupaan ng Northern at Central Luzon.
-Hindi parin inaalis ang posibilidad na magbago ito dahil hindi pa ito isang ganap na bagyo.
-Asahan ang mga pag-ulan bukas (Lunes) at sa Martes dulot ng trough ng LPA na ito.
Patuloy po tayo na tumutok sa mga parating na abiso, at maghanda sa bantang dulot ng sama ng panahon.
Mag-ingat po ang lahat.
Tropical Depression
11:00 PM, 20 October 2024
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
Location: 1,255 km East of Southeastern Luzon
Intensity: Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center
Gustiness of up to 70kph
Present Movement: Westward at 30 kph
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Moderate to rough seas over the eastern seaboards of Quezon
• Up to 2.5 m: Eastern seaboards of Quezon
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Track and Intensity Outlook
May enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow (21 October) early morning, and is expected to move westward until Tuesday (22 October) morning before turning west northwestward to northwestward from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday (23 October) evening. It is forecast to make landfall over the northeastern portion of Cagayan by Friday (25 October) evening.
This tropical cyclone is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm in the next 12 hours. It may reach severe tropical storm category by Tuesday afternoon or evening and typhoon category by Thursday (24 October) afternoon or evening. Upon entry in PAR region, this tropical cyclone will be given the local name of “KRISTINE”.
Since this tropical cyclone is still over the Philippine Sea, further intensification is likely. Changes in forecast track is also not ruled out.
Unless there is an intermediate issuance, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be issued at 11:00 AM tomorrow.
DOST-PAGASA
Quezon PIO
Ganap nang isang mahinang bagyo ang LPA na nasa labas ng PAR. Posible itong pumasok ng PAR bukas ng umaga at papangalanang bagyong Kristine.
Bagama’t hindi pa nakikitang direktang lalapit sa lalawigan ang bagyo, mas ligtas pa rin na maghanda ang lahat sa banta ng mga pagbaha at pagguho ng lupa lalo na sa mga lugar na dati nang may kasaysayan nito o nasa hazard prone areas.
Nasa karagatan pa ang bagyo at malayo sa kalupaan kaya maaari pang magbago ang direksyon nito. Nakararamdam na rin ng masamang panahon sa karagatan at maaaring umabot ng 2.5 na metro ang taas ng mga alon.
Patuloy tayong sumubaybay sa mga paalala at abiso.
Mag-ingat po ang lahat.
Quezon PIO
Katamtaman hanggang sa malakas na pag-ulan na may kasamang pagkulog-pagkidlat at malakas na bugso ng hangin ay nararanasan sa 𝐐𝐮𝐞𝐳𝐨𝐧 (𝐓𝐚𝐠𝐤𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐚𝐧) na maaring magtagal hanggang sa susunod na dalawang oras at maaring makaapekto sa mga karatig na lugar.
Pinapayuhan ang lahat na mag-ingat at maging alerto sa posibleng panganib ng pagbaha at pagguho ng lupa.
Panatilihin ang pagsubaybay sa mga susunod na updates.
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PABATID
Bilang paghahanda sa posibleng pagpasok ng Low Pressure Area sa bansa, pinapayuhan ang mga punong bayan, DRRM Officers at council members na itaas sa BLUE ALERT STATUS ang mga Emergency Operations Center (EOC) simula bukas, October 21, 2024, 1400H (2:00PM).
Inaatasan din ang mga kinauukulan na isagawa ang paghahanda base sa BRAVO Protocol gayundin ang pagpapasa ng situational reports tuwing 0500 (5:00AM) at 1700H (5:00PM) sa pdrrmo.quezon4a@gmail.com
Source: PDRRMC Memorandum Circular No. DHT-10, Series of 2024
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